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**ChetCheeke****Member**- From: Netherlands, Zoetermeer
- Registered: 2020-08-18
- Posts: 5

This thing about some men believing they could take a point off Serena in a tennis match: why would taking a single point be so hard.

Theyâ€™re not claiming theyâ€™d take a game are they, or even a set.

We are just talking about one point, right.

99%.

I mean itâ€™s almost certain, but she still makes mistakes.

She sometimes hits the ball long or wide or into the net, or serves a double fault.

These things happen.

So she can never be 100% sure of winning any one point, but obviously the odds are heavily in her favour.

Letâ€™s say she does have a 99% chance.

A tennis match over two sets has to contain at least 48 points â€“ a minimum 12 games (6 in each set) and four points per game.

6-0.

If her chance of winning each point is 99%, then her chance of winning 48 points in a row is 99% x 99% repeated 48 times.

And that equals 62.4%.

So sheâ€™s still likely to do it, but 37.6% of the time she wonâ€™t.

Only 12% of men believed theyâ€™d take a point off her, but I think they were underselling themselves.

At a 99% chance for Serena per point, over 1 in 3 men would take a point off her.

If her chance of winning any individual point was â€˜onlyâ€™ 98%, then the odds for men v Serena are pretty much reversed â€“ sheâ€™d only win every point 37.9% of the time, and 62.1% of men would win a point.

Having said that, the original poll question was: â€œDo you think if you were playing your very best tennis, you could win a point off Serena Williams?â€ No mention of whether you get one chance or 1,000 chances.

So who knows what the respondents thought they were answering.

Twitter: @AngryOfN5.

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